Match forudsigelse: MIBR - Fluxo | Counter-Strike (CS2)

We are waiting for the main denouement within the ongoing BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 Americas. Some of these participants will provide themselves with a trip to BLAST Premier Fall 2022 Finals with a prize pool of $425,000, which means that the motivation to win the match will be quite high. Experts from bookmakers suddenly rated Fluxo's chances of winning more than MIBR, and the favorite has a 52% chance of winning by reflection, which is not too much for such a match. This is almost 50%, and therefore we can assume that the participants of the meeting have equal chances of winning. For this reason, it will be especially interesting to analyze this meeting.

MIBR uniform

MIBR was originally one of the favorites in this tournament and I like their roster, which includes HEN1, who has impressive experience playing in the Tier-1 CS:GO scene. This experience can help the team to win the upcoming match. The team simultaneously took part in the ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America, where it took the 3rd place, having been defeated in the fight against Nouns and ATK. As for BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 Americas, the roster beat LOS + oNe and Sharks there. If in the first confrontation they had difficulties and the Brazilians gave up one map, then in the second case the team won on two maps without losing a single one. It is noteworthy that each time they played on Nuke, where they won, and the team was defeated on their weakest map, Overpass. At the same time, the team successfully performed on the top 2 of their weak maps, Vertigo, and won the fight against Sharks, falling short of the 3rd map.

As for the map pool, two of the strongest cards in MIBR's arsenal are Nuke and Ancient. There, the percentage of wins is 73.3% and 71.4%, respectively, with 15 and 7 played times, which is quite good. Such statistics can be considered objective. The Brazilians also show good results on Inferno together with Dust 2. There the percentage of wins is 62.5% and 60%, which is also not bad in principle. But the two worst cards, as mentioned earlier, they can safely be considered Vertigo and Overpass. If they sometimes won on Vertigo, then things are bad with Overpass and this was clearly noticeable on BLAST Premier.

History of recent MIBR meetings

BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 North America

• MIBR 2-0 Sharks
• MIBR 2-1 LOS + oNe

ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America

• MIBR 0-2ATK
• MIBR 0-2 Nouns
• MIBR 2-0 Evil Geniuses Black
• MIBR 2-0 Iron Blood Gaming
• MIBR 2-0 Brazen

MIBR card statistics

• Nuke (15 cards) - 73.3%
• Ancient (7 cards) - 71.4%
• Inferno (8 cards) - 62.5%
• Dust 2 (15 cards) - 60%
• Vertigo (14 cards) - 57.1%
• Overpass (6 cards) - 50%

Fluxo play uniform

Fluxo made it to the grand finals of this championship thanks to a good performance at the event. Although before the start of BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 North America the team did not seem to be a favorite and showed unsatisfactory results in previous championships, however, as a result, the roster will fight with MIBR in the grand final and has the status of a match favorite. In this tournament, the roster beat Evil Geniuses and 00NATION on four different maps: Dust 2, Nuke, Ancient and Mirage. What is most interesting is that the team previously showed not the best results on Mirage and Ancient, which means that the team is in such good playing shape that the choice of map is a secondary issue. You can't say the same about MIBR.

If you still look at the map pool of Fluxo, then the team most often played on Dust 2, Nuke and Mirage, where they played in 20, 15 and 13 matches, respectively. By the way, at Dust 2 and Nuke the team performed successfully in 75% and 73.3% of cases, which is quite a lot, considering the number of matches played there. Things are going a little worse on Mirage, however, 61.5% with 13 cards is a good indicator. MIBR also play well on Nuke and Dust 2, so if the meeting is held on these maps, I won't be surprised and it will be very interesting.

History of recent Fluxo meetings

BLAST Premier Fall Showdown 2022 North America

• Fluxo 2-0 00 Nation
• Fluxo 2-1 Evil Geniuses

ESL Challenger Rotterdam 2022

• Fluxo 0-2 Outsiders
• Fluxo 2-1 LOS + oNe
• Fluxo 18-22 Outsiders

Fluxo Card Statistics

• Overpass (1 card) - 100%
• Vertigo (6 cards) - 83.3%
• Dust 2 (20 cards) - 75%
• Nuke (15 cards) - 73.3%
• Inferno (9 cards) - 66.7%
• Mirage (13 cards) - 61.5%
• Ancient (9 cards) - 55.6%

Conclusion

In this confrontation, we should see a worthy fight on three maps. Both teams are in good shape and play on similar maps. For this reason, in my opinion, the best bet in this case will be on Total over 2.5 cards with a coefficient of 1.87. If you choose a specific winner, then I will give my preference to the MIBR team with a coefficient of 1.95. I like the MIBR roster more and for me this roster still looks more like a favorite of the match.

Final bet: Total over 2.5 cards with odds of 1.87