Match forudsigelse: Team Liquid - Vitality | CS2 (CS:GO)

Team Liquid will face Team Vitality in the finals of ESL Pro League Season 16 and compete for the title of the tournament champion with a prize pool of $835,000, as well as compete for invitations to BLAST Premier World Final 2022 and IEM Katowice 2023. their performance at the event already suggests that the fight could be intriguing.

Experts from bookmakers believe that ZyWoo and his teammates have more chances to win, and the probability of their triumph in the ESL Pro League is 60%, which is expressed in a coefficient of 1.55.

Will Vitality win? Or will Liquid, despite some skepticism of the audience, be able to adequately fight and gain the upper hand in this confrontation? Let's figure it out!

Team Liquid jersey

Now Liquid are on the 3rd place in the list of the best CS:GO rosters and, given that the roster plays with YEKINDAR, who has not officially joined the team on a permanent basis, the path already covered already at least arouses great respect and even admiration in some way.

The team in the group stage did not show such a brilliant performance as Vitality and finished their way there on the 3rd line with a 3-2 result, however, this did not prevent the roster from breaking out from the first round of the playoffs to the very final. In the initial stage of the event, nitr0 and the company were defeated in the fight against Eternal Fire and FURIA Esports. The level of these opponents (especially Eternal Fire) is significantly inferior to what Team Vitality shows, and this could be called an alarming bell, but during the tournament the team got in good shape and played properly.

In the playoffs, Liquid had difficulties in the fight against Fnatic and Cloud9. In both cases, this happened on Overpass and Ancient, Liquid's weakest maps, which tells us that they are not able to show a good enough performance there. Looking ahead, Vitality never plays Ancient, and Overpass is not their favorite map either.

However, Liquid's quarter-final meeting against MOUZ went well, despite the fact that they played Ancient there as well.

Continuing the theme of choosing maps, it is worth noting that the best places for battles for the American team are Mirage, Dust 2 and Inferno. There their win rate is 83.3%, 80% and 77.8% respectively. Considering the played 6, 5 and 9 maps, respectively, such statistics can be considered fairly objective.

History of recent meetings Team Liquid

ESL Pro League Season 16 (playoffs)

• Team Liquid 2-1 Cloud9
• Team Liquid 2-0 MOUZ
• Team Liquid 2-1 Fnatic

ESL Pro League Season 16 (group stage)

• Team Liquid 2-0 Cloud9
• Team Liquid 0-2 Eternal Fire
• Team Liquid 1-2 FURIA Esports
• Team Liquid 2-0 Evil Geniuses
• Team Liquid 2-1 Movistar Riders

Team Liquid Map Statistics

• Mirage (6 cards) - 83.3%
• Dust 2 (5 cards) - 80%
• Inferno (9 cards) - 77.8%
• Vertigo (7 cards) - 57.1%
• Ancient (7 cards) - 57.1%
• Overpass (6 cards) - 50%

Team Vitality game uniform European roster showed excellent results at this tournament in all stages. The group stage started with Vitality beating each of their opponents, be it Natus Vincere or Fnatic. Such a performance helped the team to start their journey right from the quarterfinals. There, they won without any problems in the fight against Outsiders and G2 Esports, without losing a single map to either one or the other. Thus, the team has not lost on a single map for the entire tournament, and this only means one thing - Team Vitality are in excellent playing shape and ready to win.

The two best places where Vitality consistently wins are Dust 2 and Inferno with win rates of 80% and 75%. They are also well played, as I pointed out earlier, by Team Liquid. On Vertigo and Overpass, the performance expects much to be desired, with win rates of 62.5% and 60% respectively. On Mirage and Nuke it is better for Team Vitality representatives not to play, as there they win in 55.6% and 42.9% of cases, but we are waiting for a Bo5 match and they will need to do it anyway. This factor is exacerbated by the fact that they will have to fight in the final of the tournament against a very strong team, which is in 3rd place in the top from HLTV.

Team Vitality match history

ESL Pro League Season 16 (playoffs)

• Team Vitality 2-0 G2 Esports
• Team Vitality 2-0 Outsiders

ESL Pro League Season 16 (group stage)

• Team Vitality 2-0 Team Spirit
• Team Vitality 2-1 Natus Vincere
• Team Vitality 2-1 Fnatic
• Team Vitality 2-0 NiP
• Team Vitality 2-0 Endpoint

Team Vitality Card Statistics

• Dust 2 (5 cards) - 80%
• Inferno (8 cards) - 75%
• Vertigo (8 cards) - 62.5%
• Overpass (5 cards) - 60%
• Mirage (9 cards) - 55.6%
• Nuke (7 cards) - 42.9%

Conclusion

Team Vitality really looks like a clear favorite in this confrontation, and so far ZyWoo and his comrades, who have gained an excellent gaming shape, have not found equals.

In this case, I have three options for a good bet. I only consider the probability of Vitality's victory, but I do not exclude the possibility that Liquid will be able to take one card. Still, Liquid perform well not only on Dust 2 and Inferno, where they like to play Vitality, but also most often prefer to play on Mirage. ZyWoo and his teammates will rather ban Ancient, where they never play, and Liquid will get rid of Nuke in turn. According to this scenario, the meeting can also take place on Mirage. And this Vitality card is not overly favored. In this case, Liquid will have the opportunity to pick up at least one card. Therefore, my thoughts lead to the following conclusion: Vitality can win 3-1.

You can simply bet on the victory of Vitality with a coefficient of 1.55, on Handicap -1.5 with a coefficient of 2.25, or you can even take a chance and bet on the exact score of 3-1 in their favor with a coefficient of 3.80. Can Liquid take more than one card? They can. Is there any chance to win? Undoubtedly. However, Vitality's game form speaks to the low likelihood of such an event, and looking at the performance history and map pools, I have strong beliefs that Vitality will close this meeting with a score of 3-1 or 3-0 if Liquid can't do anything show.

As a result, I prefer Handicap -1.5 cards played by the favorite of the confrontation to the golden mean between a too risky bet and a choice in favor of Vitality's victory. The coefficient is also quite generous - 2.25.

Final bet: Handicap -1.5 cards in favor of Team Vitality with odds of 2.25