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The Counter-Strike 2 competitive season continues. We're looking at what's happening at BLAST Premier: Fall Showdown 2024.
We will be talking about the first round of Fall Showdown 2024, where we are expecting bo1 matches. One of the central fights of the first round is the stunet clash between C9 - paiN Gaming.
We are trying to figure out who in the pair Cloud9 - paiN Gaming will be stronger and advance to the next round, while the loser will say goodbye to the prospects of getting a ticket to the Fall Finals.
Let's go.
Cloud9 Form.
We open our match analysis with an analysis of C9's form. In this match they will play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.78.
C9 have had a pretty busy 2023 season. "Cloudy" celebrated a passage to the grand finals of ESL Pro League Season 17 and a victory at the BLAST Premier: Spring European Showdown 2022.
In addition, the team won the commercial BB Playlist. Urbanistic. In April, C9 seriously stumbled: they lost two qualifications at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 and missed the only Major of the season.
Next up was a top-4 finish at IEM Rio 2023 and a win at Brazy Party. Before IEM Cologne 2023, C9 failed at IEM Dallas 2023 (top-8) and BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2023 (top-8).
- Cloud9 lineup: Ax1Le, BoombI4, HeavyGod, ICY, interz.
Before Gamers8 Cloud9 attended another major summer tournament - IEM Cologne 2023. The most prestigious event went well for Cloud9: not good, but not bad either.
A very difficult Long Corner in Cologne forced Cloud9 to mobilise all their resources in order not to drop out at the group stages, and these resources were enough until the first round of play-offs, where C9 were dealt with Vitality.
Next, C9 visited Gamers8, but even there everything was not so good. At the TOP-8 stage the team faced ENCE, and they were unable to do anything against the overclocked Finns. And that's how they ended up in the TOP-8.
In their debut match at EPL Season 18, Cloud9 played against Eternal Fire. The Turks, being a cheerful team on paper, failed to outplay C9 at least on one of the cards: the match ended with the score 2-0 (16-11 Vertigo, 16-12 Eternal Fire).
In the play-offs match C9 faced Complexity. Being the absolute favourite of the match, Cloud9 failed to give CoL a fight and lost 0-2.
Cloud9's failures didn't end there. After getting into the net of the last chance of EPL Season 18, Cloud9 lost 1-2 to Liquid in a rather lacklustre manner, thus failing to qualify for the play-offs of the prestigious tournament. At the end of EPL S18, C9 finished in the top 20, which, to put it mildly, is weak for a top-tier team, which C9 was labelled as by literally everyone.
However, before the IEM Sydney IEM Long Convergence, C9 managed to rehabilitate themselves a bit for their mediocre performance at the last TOP tournaments. C9 won the BLAST Premier: Fall European Showdown 2023, earning them a slot at the BLAST Autumn Finals.
Before competing at Thunderpick World Championship 2023, Cloud9 made an appearance at IEM Sydney 2023. It wasn't great there, as C9 failed to make it past the group stage, crashing out after losing to Complexity.
Thunderpick World Championship 2023 was C9's first tournament with BoombI4 officially as captain. It worked out pretty well: Cloud9 made it to the play-offs of the tournament and finished in the top 4, losing in the semi-finals to the future champions from FaZe with a 1-2 score.
At the end of the last season C9 played two BLAST tournaments. It was BLAST Premier Fall Final 2023 followed by Top 4 and Top 6 at BLAST Premier: World Finals 2024.
The first big tournament in 2024 for C9 was BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024. There, the Cloudies had a rather mediocre performance with a final top-12 at the end of the tournament.
Their performance at PGL CS 2 Major Copenhagen 2024 was not the best either. There, C9 made it to the play-offs after a 3-1 score in the Elimination Stage, but then dropped out in the first match of the main stage after a 0-2 loss to Vitality.
They also attended IEM China 2024, where they finished in the top 9-12. Later, C9 finished top-13 at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2024 and qualified for the I ntel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 RMR.
Cloud9 Mappool.
The best map C9 is Vertigo. There are 2 wins in 3 matches.
Next is Inferno. On Inferno Cloud9 played 5 times, of which they won 3 matches.
Minus winrate on 4 maps at once: Ancient (42% wins in 7 matches), Overpass (33% wins in 3 matches), Anubis (3 matches, 33% wins), Mirage (2 matches, 0 wins).
Form paiN
We continue our analysis of paiN vs C9 match with the analysis of paiN form. In this match they will play as favourites with odds to win around 2.2.
The paiN Gaming club has played many tournaments in 2024, among which there have been results. However, no special results were achieved.
By far the most significant was PGL Major Copenhagen 2024, where paiN managed to show character and a good game. They were just enough for the top 9-11, but even that is a good result.
Where paiN shine is on the home stage. The club has essentially dominated the Latin American scene, consistently winning B-tier tournaments. Such was the case at RES Latin American Series #4, Global Esports Tour Rio de Janeiro 2024, where they earned $100,000 for the win.
- The lineup of paiN Gaming: biguzera, lux, kauez, nqz, snow.
Landmark results include a pass at IEM Cologne 2024. Passed through home qualifications.
IEM Cologne 2024 paiN Gaming started with a loss in the match against Liquid (0-2). Then, already in the lower grid, the team won against compatriots from Imperial (2-1). Later paiN made it to the top 8 of the tournament, which can be called a good result.
Map paiN Gaming
Top 1 map paiN gaming for the last 3 months is Mirage. L4O has a mind-blowing winrate of 92% with 13 games.
They also played on Inferno, where they won 5 matches out of 7 games. In plus winrate and Nuke, where with 5 matches and 3 wins.
The most not favoured card for paiN gaming will be Vertigo. There they have 6 cards and only 1 win.
History of head-to-head meetings C9 - paiN
The last time the teams played each other was in 2023 and Cloud9 won that time.
Predicted result of the match Cloud9 - paiN on BLAST Premier: Fall Showdown 2024
If we had bo3 here, I would take C9 as the winner of the match, but since we have bo1 here, I will risk to call paiN Brazilians as the winners of the match.
Bottom line: paiN wins.
