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We continue to review BLAST Open Lisbon 2025. This is another tournament from BLAST, which will be held from March 19 to March 30, 2025.
BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 will feature 16 teams competing for a $400,000 prize pool. Among the contenders for victory is MOUZ – Falcons.
They were destined to play each other in their debut match of Group A. We will try to figure out how this match will end and who will advance to the next round, where they will play the winner of the Spirit – Imperial pair.
Let's go.
MOUZ Form
We open the analysis of the MOUZ – Falcons match with an analysis of MOUZ's game form. In this match they will play as favorites with a win coefficient of around 1.7.
In the debut match of IEM Cologne 2023, MOUZ played The MongolZ. An easy walk on paper ended in a nervous bo1 in the overtime, with MOUZ winning 22-19 on Nuke.
Already in the match for the group stage, MOUZ were much more confident. They easily beat NiP with a score of 2-0 (16-12 Nuke and 16-7 Inferno).
The first match of the group stage was not a serious test for MOUZ either. NaVi lost on Ancient with a score of 16-9 and Overpass with a score of 16-12.
After defeating NaVi, MOUZ failed to gain a foothold and lost the next two series. As a result, the “mice” took the TOP-12 at IEM Cologne 2023.
- MOUZ composition: torzsi, xertioN, Jimphat, Brollan, Spinx.
Before ESL Pro League Season 18, the team played in the local championship Thunderpick World Championship 2023: European Series #1. They managed to win, beating BIG 2-0 in the grand final.
In their debut match at ESL Pro League Season 18, MOUZ faced mibr. Being the favorites, the “mice” were unable to overcome the Brazilians and quite unexpectedly found themselves in the lower bracket of Group B.
The group stage for MOUZ was a mixed bag, but still more successful than not. A surprise upper bracket loss galvanized MOUZ and they effortlessly ran over opponents, including Heroic, at the bottom of the group stage. Without dropping a single map in the lower bracket, MOUZ made it here.
In the first round of the ESL Pro League Season 18 playoffs, MOUZ seemed to go wild. The Brazilians from FURIA were literally trampled, and the “mice” celebrated an easy victory with a score of 2-0, giving up a total of 9 rounds to their opponents during the game.
In the match before this, MOUZ met another giant of the European scene – FaZe Clan. The “mice” rushed through the match with courage and closed the series with a score of 2-0.
In the match for the entry here, MOUZ met G2 Esports. They became another trophy in the piggy bank of the “mice” at ESL Pro League S18.
MOUZ then went on to defeat ENCE (2-1) and NaVi in the EPL S18 Grand Final with a crushing 3-0 score. Before competing at Thunderpick World Championship 2023, MOUZ played at IEM Sydney 2023, where they faced FaZe again. This time, FaZ responded to the disappointing defeat and knocked MOUZ out at the Top 4 stage.
Thunderpick World Championship 2023 ended prematurely for MOUZ. They lost in the first round of the playoffs to FaZe, who later became the champions of the tournament.
Later there was the CS Asia Championship 2023, where MOUZ performed well. They reached the grand final, but lost to FaZe Clan with a score of 0-2.
At Elisa Masters Espoo 2023, MOUZ started their performance with a rather unexpected defeat. They lost to Apeks with a score of 16-19 in the first round of the group stage. Then there was a match with CoL for life at the event, which the “mice” won from a deficit of one map. However, it did not work out to stay in the championship race for long: MOUZ flew out at the TOP-6 stage.
After that, there was BLAST Premier: World Final 2023, where the “mice” took the TOP-4. This was the last tournament of the 2023 season. The 2024 season began with the TOP-7 at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European Qualifier B. Next was IEM Katowice 2024, where the “mice” took the TOP-4.
At PGL Major CS2 Copenhagen 2024, they made it from TOP-1-2 to European RMR B. At the tournament itself, the “mice” started their performance with a victory over Ecstatic, and then beat Eternal Fire, which gave them a passage to the 2-0 stage.
Next up was IEM China 2024, where MOUZ continued to “gain momentum.” This time, the team managed to reach the grand final, but FaZe turned out to be stronger.
MOUZ made it to the ESL Pro League Season 19 playoffs with great confidence. They also swept through the championship playoffs with confidence and ultimately won the tournament, beating Vitality 3-0 in the grand final.
MOUZ attended IEM Dallas 2024, where they finished in the TOP-12, which is very difficult to call a decent result for a team of MOUZ's level.
Esports World Cup 2024 MOUZ started with a match against Sashi Esports, where they won with a score of 2-1, which again is not very good. Having advanced to the playoffs, they beat FURIA Esports with a score of 2-1. Esports World Cup 2024 MOUZ itself finished at the TOP-4 stage, losing in the match for the grand final to NaVi.
IEM Cologne 2024 started right from the group stage, where they played against Falcons in the first match and won with a score of 2-1. And in the match for reaching the playoffs, they beat CoL even more confidently with a score of 2-0. In the first round of the playoffs, the “mice” very confidently beat G2 Esports with a score of 2-0, but then lost to NaVi dry, taking the TOP-4 as a result.
ESL Pro League Season 20 started with a shaky win over Rooster (2-1). MOUZ's problems at EPL S20 were revealed in the subsequent matches, when MOUZ lost to Imperial and CoL in successive 0-2 wins. Fnatic won the last chance bracket, and then lost to CoL 0-2, leaving ESL Pro League Season 20 without advancing to the playoffs.
At IEM Rio 2024, MOUZ played in Group A. They managed to advance to the playoffs from the lower bracket, after defeating CoL and FaZe Clan. In the playoffs themselves, they alternately defeated Vitality (2-1) and FURIA (2-0). They were unable to squeeze out the victory: in the grand final, they lost to NaVi with a score of 1-3. Later, MOUZ played at BLAST Premier: World Final 2024, where they took the TOP-6.
They got to the Elimination Stage of PW Shanghai Major 2024 thanks to their successful performance at European RMR A, where they took TOP-1-2. Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 started with a victory over paiN Gaming. Later they lost to MongolZ and FaZe, but defeated 3DMax. In the match for life at the tournament, they beat MIBR. MOUZ opened the playoffs of Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 with a match against MongolZ, where they won 2-0 on class, although not without problems. In the next match, MOUZ played against Spirit, where they lost with a score of 0-2.
The start of the 2025 season turned out to be quite difficult for the “mice”. The team played very mediocrely at BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier, taking the TOP-32 there, and similarly did poorly at IEM Katowice 2025, not making it out of the group stage and finishing in 16th place.
The group stage of PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 was a mixed bag: MOUZ started with victories over BIG and 3DMax, but then lost to Falcons and FaZe. In the decisive match, they beat Vp, which gave them a place in the main stage. The playoffs started with a match against paiN Gaming, where MOUZ won with a score of 2-0. Then the “mice” beat Astralis with a score of 2-1 and, despite a disgusting group stage, beat Falcons in the grand final, earning $400,000 and the first championship title of the season.
MOUZ Mappool
MOUZ's favorite map remains Inferno. Over the last 3 months, the "mice" have played it three times and won all their games there. Things are also fine on Nuke: MOUZ won 3 "nukes" out of 4 played.
Some good options include Vertigo and Ancient, where MOUZ has 2 wins in 3 games.
The most undesirable map is Mirage. MOUZ played it 6 times, but managed to win only once.
Falcons uniform
We continue our analysis of the Falcons – MOUZ match with an analysis of the Falcons’ game form. In this match, they are playing as underdogs with a win odds of around 2.1.
The Falcons spent the entire 2023 year, as they say, in search of themselves. They started the professional season by performing at B-tier tournaments: Thunderpick Bitcoin Series #2, OMEN WRG Challenge 2023 and CCT West Europe Series #1. They celebrated TOP-2 at the first two, and TOP-8 at the more prestigious CCT.
Later they tried to get to the Parisian major. They had two attempts, at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR A and BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR B. Both were unsuccessful: TOP-11 and TOP-6.
The Falcons continued to bang their heads against the wall midway through the year. Top 13 at ESL Challenge League Season 45: Europe, Top 10 at ESL Championnat National Spring 2023, and Top 24 at Thunderpick World Championship 2023: European Series #1.
We tried to get to IEM Sydney 2023, but we dropped out of the open qualifiers at the TOP-64 stage. As a Saudi club, we got a slot at Gamers8 2023, where we played to the best of our ability, and that was the TOP-16.
- Falcons lineup: Magisk, NiKo, TeSeS, kyxsan, degster.
At the end of the year, Falcons tried to cobble together DreamTeam. So far, it's not going so well, because they failed the first tournament with the new roster. It was BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024, where the team took the TOP-12.
They got to IEM Katowice 2024 based on ESL Ranking points. They were in the TOP-10 there before the start of the tournament, but for what merits is a big mystery.
Falcons started IEM Katowice 2024 with a defeat to the best team in Turkey – Eternal Fire. Having lost to the Turks dry, Falcons were close to leaving the tournament in the lower bracket match against Rebels, but were able to stay afloat thanks to a 2-1 victory. In fact, a similar situation happened in the match against CoL, where Falcons lost the first map, but made a comeback on the second and closed the series in the third. Later they beat NaVi, and by the end of the championship they took the TOP-4, losing to the future champions from Team Spirit.
Later they played at ESL Pro League Season 19, where they completely failed, finishing in the TOP-28. They started IEM Dallas 2024 with a loss to G2, but then confidently beat Monte with a score of 2-0. However, Falcons were not enough for much more and as a result of IEM Dallas 2024 they finished in the TOP-9–12.
Before performing at IEM Dallas 2024, they visited Challengers at DreamHack. They got to IEM Dallas 2024 thanks to the ESL rating. However, they didn’t manage to get far in IEM Dallas 2024: TOP-12. In general, Falcons showed a terrible game in the 2024 season, only occasionally, like at BLAST Premier: Fall Showdown 2024, they got into the prizes.
The Falcons' 2024 season culminated in their performance at the PW Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR A, where the team finished in the Top 14 without reaching the main tournament.
Season 2025 “Dream Team” started with a performance at BLAST Bounty Season 1. There Falcons expectedly failed, taking the TOP-16. At the subsequent IEM Katowice 2025 nothing changed: TOP-16, no chance.
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 has been better than all the tournaments the Falcons have played in the 2025 season. For the first time in a long time, they reached the playoffs, and won the Swiss tournament with a score of 3-1. In the first round of the playoffs, the Falcons pleasantly surprised by winning Eternal Fire with a score of 2-0. Then - another surprise and a victory over FaZe, but in the grand final against MOUZ it was not enough: the Falcons lost with a score of 1-3.
Falcons Mappool
Falcons' best map is Nuke (1 game, 1 win), followed by Ancient (1 win, 1 loss).
Among the unfavorable maps for Falcons are Vertigo and Anubis. On the first one they have 3 matches and 1 win, and on Anubis – 1 loss.
Falcons vs MOUZ Head-to-Head History
The match between Falcons and MOUZ will be interesting at least because in the 2025 season the clubs already managed to be in the grand final of the prestigious tournament, PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, and then MOUZ won.
Predicted result of the match MOUZ – Falcons at BLAST Open Lisbon 2025
I'm not sure that the level of play of the teams has changed much since PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, which ended at the end of February. That's why I'll bet on MOUZ to win.
Result: MOUZ wins.
