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We continue our journey through the DPC 2023 ranked league and today we have prepared a betting tip for the Team Spirit - Virtus.pro match. The best region in the world, no other way!
All right, all jokes aside. Although the level of play in Eastern Europe leaves much to be desired, this region remains an important part of the global Dota 2 ecosystem, and therefore we need to understand what happens here. And here we have the derby between Team Spirit and Virtus.pro.
The match, though in Eastern Europe, is an important one. Spirit retain the opportunity to go to The International 2023 directly, but in order to do so, they need to win the home league, and it's a task with an asterisk.
We try to see who will be stronger in this game and who can win, scoring the important points.
Here we go.
Team Spirit's form
We'll start off the match by taking a look at Team Spirit's uniforms. In this match, they play as favourites to win the game.
The bookmakers are confident of a triumph for the Dragons. The odds on Spirit's victory are at 1.1. By the way, where did that figure even come from?
I understand the Spirit play more consistently throughout the year, but still the gap is too big. I would give the Spirit more.
The team finished second in their home league in the DPC 2023 EEU Tour 1 Division 1. Not bad, you'll agree, but The Lima Major 2023 was a real flop for them, with Spirit in Peru finishing in the top 8.
Seemed like a good Long Corner for further success, but DPC 2023 Tour 2 was ahead. And while Spirit managed to stay in the top-2 in their home league, the situation in Berlin was far worse than in Lima: At the ESL One Berlin Major 2023, they crashed out in the first round of play-offs, losing to Team Aster with a substitution, and finished in the second Major e of the season in the top-12.
- Team Spirit line-up: Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, Mira, Miposhka .
The Dragons have some monumental problems if they break down every time at a critical moment. It almost happened in the first match of DPC 2023: Tour 3: Division 1.
Spirit played their opening match against UALEIKMNIHAO, and the match, which should have ended 2-0 in Spirit's favour, turned into an error extravaganza and ended 2-1 in Spirit's favour.
Team Spirit's most popular characters
Crystal Maiden tops the list of Team Spirit's most-chosen characters. The character has appeared in spades six times and has an 83% win rate.
In addition to CM, Disruptor and Underlord are both valued, having been spiked 5 times each with an 80% win rate. Also was Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 100% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), PL, Viper, Slark, Riki appeared 3 times and has 100% wins.
It's like they can play, they can kick, but they can't get to the result. They don't have a significant result, but don't despair. Virtus.pro is even worse.
Virtus.pro uniforms
Let's move on to a review of Virtus.pro's playing form and achievements. In this match they are playing in underdog status, as if it could be otherwise.
Bookmakers have absolutely no faith in Vp's success. On the victory of the team give odds in the region of 4.5. Again, the odds look even too high, despite the level of Vp's performance.
All year long Virtus.pro have been playing "average". They play in average home leagues and average local tournaments. Is that a bad thing? It seems not. Is it good? Again, no.
Stagnation is a sure path to nowhere. And Virtus.pro has this period of "decay" running from the end of The International 2022.
In the first round of DPC 2023, VP placed 4th. A good indicator, if not useless, as the top 4 in Eastern Europe was just money and a token number of DPC points.
Then, there were local tournaments which were of no use at all. This went on until DPC 2023: Tour 2, where Virtus.pro took the top 4 with similar indicators.
- Virtus.pro: Kiritych, squad1x, Noticed, sayuw, Fng.
In the third cycle, Vp have already begun another ascent to the top, but so far the club's performance is not encouraging. The only match against BB Team ended in an expected 0-2 loss for Vp.
The next game, already against Hydra, Virtus.pro closed in their favour with a score of 2-1. The situation is working so far, but we have to face the league favourites, so it gets worse.
The most popular Virtus.pro characters
Disruptor remains Virtus.pro's most popular character (9 matches, 55% win rate). On the heels of Thunderer is Undying (8 matches, 50% win rate).
Also VP picks Shadow Fiend (4 matches, 75% wins), Silencer (4 matches, 50% wins), Lina (4 matches, 50% wins).
There shouldn't seem to be much of a problem at the draft stage and strategically. Especially Spirit, judging from the Dragons' first match, are not here at all.
History of head-to-head encounters between Vp and Team Spirit
The Spirit met with Vp twice during the 2023 season. Both times the games ended 2-0 in favour of Spirit.
Match outcome
In this matchup, Spirit will indeed play number one and most likely win, but they won't have a clean sweep. I'm not ready to believe a 2-0 from these Dragons, so my bet is +1.5 on Vp.
Bottom line: +1.5 on Virtus.pro.
