The Peruvian Major is gaining momentum. After an extremely long first day of play, we are getting ready to open the lower bracket of the playoffs.
The losers bracket will be opened by Team Aster and Tundra Esports. Who would have thought before the start that the winner of The International 2022 and the TOP-4 of that tournament would play right through the first round, but that's how it is.
Tundra Esports, which took 3rd place in the regular season, played the group stage rather “sluggishly”. The team, not without problems, but without any special difficulties, took 6th place in their group in the group stage.
Team Aster, who finished in the TOP-2 of the Chinese DPC league, barely got into the upper bracket of the playoffs. Starting from the first round of the upper bracket, Aster fell toothlessly into the lower part of the bracket.
Let's figure out which of the teams will be the first teams to leave Lima Major 2023 at the playoff stage, and who will have to continue the procession in the losers' bracket.
Tundra Esports Uniform
Let's start the analysis of the confrontation with an analysis of the game form of Tundra Esports. In this match, they will be in the status of a favorite.
Bookies are looking at Tundra with a perspective. The team's chance of winning is estimated by a coefficient around 1.4.
Pretty confident figure, although it cannot be said that the counterpart Tundra has no chance at all. It's too early to dismiss China, but looking at the truth, it becomes clear that the teams from the Celestial Empire are doing poorly in this tournament.
Tundra Esports roster
Things are not going well for Tundra Esports either. The once-standard team in Lima was blown away, and the main reason for this is the stagnation in the roster.
Tundra Esports Players
- skiter
- nine
- 33
- Saksa
- sneyking
The performers are strong, eminent, skillful. Do these parameters guarantee an easy win? No, the Tundra roster and playstyle are already used to, and the champions of The International 2022 cannot yet provide something completely new.
Tundra Esports performance
Tundra Esports qualified for Lima Major 2023 by taking 3rd place in the regional league of Western Europe. The team finished 4-3, advancing to the Peruvian Major from the replays.
As part of the group Lima Major 2023, Tundra Esports played in Group A. There the team won 3 matches, drew 1 game and lost 4 series.
Tundra beat TSM, Talon Esports and EHOME. Tundra Esports lost to Gaimin Gladiators, Evil Geniuses, PSG.LGD and Team Spirit. The only draw was the confrontation with Execration.
Heroes Tundra Esports
The most selectable Tundra character is Undying. The character was picked 9 times, of which he won 7 matches.
Undying is followed by Lina, who appeared in match 8 and has a 75% win rate. Also DOOM appeared in 8 games, winning half of their games.
Enigma appeared in 7 match picks with a 71% win rate, while Mirana, with a similar number of matches, has a crushing win rate of 28%.
Team Aster Uniform
We continue the review of the match with an analysis of the Team Aster game form. The Chinese team in this match will be in the status of an outsider.
Bookmakers are in no hurry to bury China's TOP-2 DPC. For the victory of the Monet team, they give a coefficient in the region of 2.7.
After the group stage of the Peruvian Major, there was not much faith in China, and after the first game day of the Lima Major 2023 playoffs, it disappeared altogether. Aster looked as toothless as possible yesterday.
Composition
It is not entirely clear why the team suddenly forgot how to play. How Monet-level players allow themselves to farm creeps alone and mindlessly feed without buybacks.
Team Aster players
- Monet
- xwy
- xxs
- BoBoKa
- Siamese.C
Not to say that there are problems because of someone specific. There is no team play, no synergy. The saddest thing is that it is not clear how Aster can fix these problems in a day or less.
Team Aster Performance
The team took TOP-2 in the home DPC 2023: China - Upper Division. As a result, I had to give way to PSG.LGD, first losing in the regular season, and then in tiebreaks.
We got to the playoffs with grief in half. In regulated matches, we played enough in tiebreaks, and already in replays, in a tight b3 match, we defeated beastcoast.
In the first two days, the team played 3 matches: against beastcoast, Shopify Rebellion and BB Team. All three teams are direct competitors to Aster, and all 3 matches ended in a draw for China's TOP-2.
On the third day of games, Aster played a draw with Entity, and after that they lost to HellRaisers with a score of 0-2. Then there were two clean wins: against Knights and Geek Slate, and then the expected loss from Liquid on two maps, but not without a fight.
Aster's first playoff game ended in an absolute fiasco. Both games ended in a little over 30 minutes and the beloved Enigma and Phoenix didn't help. Monet looked especially deplorable on the troll on the second map, where the legend of the Chinese dota showed how not to play in the first position.
Heroes Team Aster
At Lima Major 2023, Team Aster uses very unique heroes. The most popular character in their picks is Phoenix (9 matches, 77% of wins).
Meta Rubick plays poorly: 8 fights, 37% win rate. Tiny feels much better (6 matches, 66% of wins).
Enchantress has a 100% win rate over 5 games, Troll Warlord has an 80% win rate, and Beastmaster has a 60% win rate. Among the characters with 5 games, Magnus and Tusk fared the worst with 40% win rates in all games.
History of personal confrontations
Aster and Tundra Esports have not played official matches with updated rosters before. The knockout match at Lima Major 2023 will be the debut face-to-face confrontation between the teams.
The outcome of the fight
Even last season, such a match would have been promising, but now, I don’t expect much from this match. This is due to the general level of teams from China.
What Aster showed in the first round of the upper bracket against GG does not fit into the concept of a “strong team”. The Chinese team simply does not have games.
Before the match with Tundra, Aster will have less than a day to take a break and rethink what happened on the last two maps. Tundra have been preparing for the match for 3 days and they should come up with something.
In general, I am confident in the victory of the Europeans. And in the case of this pair, I'm leaning towards a clean 2-0.
Result: Tundra's victory with a score of 2-0.
Castawake
ExecrationSe kampen
