Match forudsigelse: Team Spirit - PSG.LGD | Dota 2
The Lima Major 2023Tension is rising in Lima. The point here is not only the geographical location of Arena 1 in Peru, but also the quality of the knockout matches.
A duel before that, EG and beastcoast, local stars and hosts of Lima Major 2023, will play, followed by Team Spirit and PSG.LGD. It is not recommended to miss such a duel, because in modern DotA it is rare to watch a repeat of The International final.
Team Spirit took second place at DPC 2023: EEU - Upper Division, after which they got into group A at Lima Major 2023. There, the “dragons” reached the second line, winning 11 matches out of 5.
PSG.LGD became home league champions, finishing in the top division in China in first place. As part of the Lima Major 2023 itself, PSG.LGD played with Spirit in the same group and did not make it to the TOP-4.
We are trying to figure out which of the top clubs will continue to play at the first major of the season, and who will have to say goodbye to their ambitions to climb high at Lima Major 2023.
Team Spirit Uniform
Let's start the analysis of the match with an analysis of the form of Team Spirit. “Dragons” in this match will perform in the status of a favorite.
What does the favorite with a margin, and this is logical. Bookmakers give Team Spirit a win odds around 1.6.
Such a figure for a b3 series through and through makes it clear that Spirit will be ahead in the course of the match. This makes it clear and other parameters.
Team Spirit roster
Firstly, Spirit already has a well-established and fairly stable roster. Larl has already managed to adapt, otherwise Spirit would not have reached the upper bracket of the playoffs and would not have shown a good game there.
Team Spirit Players
- Yatoro
- Larl
- collapse
- Mira
- Miposhka
Another interesting thing is the transition of the role of the Collaps caller. At least that's what it looked like from Spirit's seating in the match against SR and Collapse's captain slot.
I do not presume to say that this is true, but why not.
Team Spirit Performance
Team Spirit made it to Lima Major 2023 taking second place in DPC 2023: EEU - Upper Division. In the home league, the team won 6 matches, losing only 1.
Spirit played at third party tournaments like BB Xmas Show and BB Universe - Comics Zone. Both of Spirit's commercial championships finished in second place.
In the group stage of Lima Major 2023, the Dragons lost only 1 series. Gaimin Gladiators lost on the first day of games.
In 8 matches, they drew three times: with PSG.LGD, Talon and EHOME. Matches against Execration, TSM, EG and Tundra ended in favor of Spirit.
It was hot in the first playoff game: Shopify Rebellion imposed a serious fight and ended up being stronger than their counterparts. I can't say that Spirit played very badly in that match, rather Arteezy was too good on his Shadow Fiend.
Heroes Team Spirit
Spirit's approach to drafting hasn't changed much since the end of DPC 2023: WEU - Upper Division. The Dragons are still happy to use Tusk (9 matches, 77% wins), Snapfire (9 matches, 77% wins), Rubick (8 games, 75% wins).
Mirana is chosen a little less often (6 matches, 50% of wins). Even rarer are Natures Prophet, Sniper (6 games each, 60% win rate) and Tiny (6 matches, 40% win rate).
Form PSG.LGD
Let's move on to the review of the PSG.LGD game form. They will play as an outsider in this match.
There is no place for surprise, because PSG.LGD is no longer the same as it was. Before the start of the tournament, the hope was smoldering to see a new era of PSG.LGD, but this did not happen.
The bookmaker estimates the chance of PSG.LGD to win with odds around 2.3. In my opinion, more could have been given.
PSG.LGD roster
The problem with PSG.LGD is not only the replacement of the key players of the legendary roster of 2020-2022, but also the fact that PSG.LGD made it to Lima Major 2023 with a replacement.
PSG.LGD Players
- shiro
- NothingToSay
- old_eLeVeN
- planet
- y`
The appearance of old_eLeVeN in the roster somehow did not affect the overall game of PSG.LGD, and this is more of a minus than a plus. The new LGD play is chaotic, nondescript and unstable, which is not the level of high-seed majors.
Performance of PSG.LGD
Since the team made it to Lima from first place at DPC 2023: CN - Upper Division, it makes sense to remember their path as part of the home scene. You can't call it straightforward, as PSG.LGD encountered problems during the race.
PSG.LGD finished DPC 2023: CN - Upper Division with a 6-1 record. The only loss was against the Knights in the second week of the tour, and the league win came in replays.
As part of the group stage, PSG.LGD played in pot A, where they failed to qualify for the upper bracket of the playoffs. The team won 2 matches, drew 4 and lost the remaining 2.
Heroes PSG.LGD
PSG.LGD valued Primal Beast (6 games, 66% win rate), Tiny (6 matches, 50% win rate), Leshrac (6 matches, 50% win rate), Enigma (5 matches, 60% win rate). They love Alchemist, bringing him into the meta: 2 games, 100% win rate.
History of personal confrontations
The teams have already managed to play with each other in the new season. The teams got into the same group at Lima Major 2023 and tied there.
The outcome of the fight
In this fight, I do not expect a hot fight. There is no faith in teams from China this season and it is unlikely that anything will change during Lima Major 2023.
Despite the draw in the face-to-face meeting in the group stage and the fact that Team Spirit did not beat PSG.LGD in matches NOT in the finals of the majors or The International, something should not interfere with them today.
The chaotic play of PSG.LGD will not help fool the “dragons”. Spirit looks like a team that should close the match 2-0, but I'm not sure about that. But just in victory - completely and completely.
Outcome: victory for Team Spirit.
Analytics and prediction for the match between PSG.LGD and Team Spirit in the lower bracket of The Lima Major 2023 playoffs. Spirit as a favorite failed the series with Shopify Rebellion, while PSG.LGD initially ended up in the lower bracket.
Analytics for the team PSG.LGD (8-8)
Finished the PSG.LGD group stage with 2 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws. Most of the games were tied. Just with Team Spirit they played 1:1, but remembering that game, Tusk decided to buy Aghanims Scepter, Leshrac from Larl made a big dive, and Yatoro lost even on Morphling. PSG.LGD from a funny lost to TSM (0:2) and tied with Execration (1:1).
Team Spirit Analytics (12-7)
Team Spirit in the group stage lost to Gladiators (0:2), draws with EHOME (1:1) and PSG.LGD (1:1). In the playoffs, they were favorites in the game with Shopify Rebellion and flew off quite sensationally (1:2). After their moment on Roshan with Arteezy's moment on Shadow Fiend, there is absolutely no faith in them. Mira says in an interview there that they "will easily go through the lower bracket", but this is not so.
Prediction for the match PSG.LGD - Team Spirit
It will always be influenced by the fact that Team Spirit felt the start of the playoffs with spectator booths. But PSG.LGD will be new and there will be moments that you will need to get used to. Stuffy cabins, sound and a bunch of other factors for which the Chinese will not be ready. In any case, Spirit is very unstable and plays terribly in a 3-card match. If picking a winner, for me it's PSG.LGD.
Prediction: PSG.LGD will win Team Aster
Analytics and forecasts in Telegram - t.me/flzbets
Bookmakers & Statistics
I øjeblikket ser flertallet af bookmakere enstemmigt holdet Team Spirit som spillets favorit med gennemsnitlige odds på en sejr i summen af 1.308. PSG.LGD chancer for at sejre vurderes med gennemsnitlige odds 5.251 af bookmakere.
Hvordan præsterede deltagerne i de sidste kampe
Sidste kampe | Team Spirit | PSG.LGD |
5 kampe (sejre) | 3 | [udevinderrate_5] |
10 kampe (sejre) | 6 | [ude_vinder_10] |
Det vil også være nødvendigt at nævne historien om ansigt-til-ansigt møder mellem modstanderne. Holdene spillede 10 kampe med hinanden før. I disse kampe fik Team Spirit 2 sejre, mens PSG.LGD formåede at tage 6 kampe.