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We've made a betting tip on Team Liquid vs OG in the first round of the play-offs of the ESL One Berlin Major 2023. A European derby in the play-offs Major tournament is just what you need for Monday.
A rather unexpected pair of teams meet in the first round of the ESL One Berlin play-offs, especially considering the level of play of the clubs throughout the year. However, there's a Major here, which means we don't really care about the results.
Let's see who will be stronger in the first leg of the Berlin Major play-offs, advancing to the next round.
Let's get started.
Team Liquid form
Let's start the review of the game with analysis of Team Liquid's form. In this matchup they will play as the favourites.
Bookmakers put the odds at 1.4 for Liquid's victory. This number by the tag does not come out of nowhere: The Liquid have earned it.
Over the course of the year, TL have been rapidly approaching the status of the best team in the world. The latest step towards this title is victory at The Berlin Major 2023. Before the German tournament TL had twice won their league title in Western Europe, but were a little less fortunate on the international stage.
In The Lima Major 2023, Team Liquid made it safely out of the group and also progressed to the grand final until the final of the top flight. In the penultimate match of the tournament, the Liquid were faced with Gaimin Gladiators and in addition to this, had to play with substitutions and the result was not long in coming.
Team Liquid lost the top set final, but returned to the grand final from the bottom set, where Ledge or Gaimin Gladiators again. The chance to get even with Gaimin Gladiators was at DreamLeague S19, already in full strength.
- Team Liquid's line-up: micKe, Nisha, zai, Boxi, Insania .
DreamLeague S19 began with Liquid winning their subgroup and then winning the next stage. In the play-offs Liquid made it to the grand final on the top grid, but then another defeat by GG.
Team Liquid's most popular heroes
In the top picks for The Berlin Major 2023, Team Liquid has Crystal Maiden with 7 games and 6 wins.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, the picks are Doom (4 games, 100% wins), Sven (4 games, 75% wins), Skywrath Mage (4 games, 75% wins).
Rubick (4 matches, 25% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins) appear in spades, Underlord, Pangolier, Storm Spirit each have 3 matches and all have 2 wins.
If you're ready to believe in the success of the first team in Western Europe, bet on Team Liquid to win at odds of 1.45.
We will talk about the OG phenomenon at ESL One Berlin and what they can offer against Team Liquid in the battle to advance to the next round.
OG Form
We continue the breakdown of the OG vs Team Liquid match with an analysis of OG's form. In this match, they will play as an outsider, as the bookmakers are pointing out.
The odds of OG winning this match are estimated at odds around 2.6. It is important to note that the gap between the teams is not even double, and that says a lot.
In general, to see OG essentially on an equal footing with Team Liquid is already The International. It was difficult to imagine such a state of affairs before the Berlin Major 2023, because OG did not look like a team capable of reaching the play-offs of a championship of this level.
As the season progressed, OG almost failed twice in the regular league. In the first DPC 2023 season they finished 5th and missed out on the next The Lima Major 2023, but after that they managed to reach the Top 4 of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division and earned themselves a ticket for The Berlin Major 2023.
However, the Berlin Major 2023 was reached in a rather modified format. They had to resort to two stand-ins at once.
- OG line-up: Yuragi, bzm, Mind_Control, Taiga, Kitrak.
DM and Chu didn't get their visas to Germany and as a consequence, went to the audience hall. But MC and Kitrak, who replaced them, unexpectedly joined the OG squad.
All through the group stage, OG played with heart, which was evident in their performance. In Group B, OG unexpectedly finished second without losing a single match.
The team played out 4-4, drawing with top favourites Spirit, Tundra and Shopify Rebellion as well as Invictus Gaming.
No small credit must go to the same MC and Kitraka who, given the chance to play in the Major for the first time in a long time, didn't let it slip away.
The most popular OG characters
Among the favourite OG characters in the ESL One Berlin Major: Keeper of the Light (6 matches, 83% wins), Phantom Lancer (5 matches, 60% wins).
Among the most successful: Crystal Maiden (4 games, 100% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 100% wins), Alchemist (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins).
If you believe in continued success of OG - bet on OG with odds 2.6.
We will review the history of head-to-head games between OG and Team Liquid.
History of head-to-head encounters between Team Liquid and OG
The teams have played each other 4 times during the season. In all games OG has not won a single series, and the total score on the cards is 8-1 in favor of Liquid.
Match outcome
In this matchup OG may have a historic chance to outplay Liquid and clinch passage to the next round of play-offs. However, I'm still inclined to believe in the Liquid's success.
Although the team looks sluggish in this tournament, that doesn't mean they'll play one handed. However, I do admit a card from OG.
Bottom line: Liquid win.