Match forudsigelse: OG - Hokori | Dota 2

The International 2022 group stage matches are still here, still with us. We follow what is happening in Singapore and now we are in group A, where the battles are gaining momentum.

The “Group of Death”, having gathered virtually all the main contenders for victory in the tournament in one place, pleases with confrontations of the same contenders. However, there is a place here for new talents, unexpectedly opening the campaign of the championship.

We will talk about one of the same in the review of this match. We are talking about Hokori who will face OG.

We will try to figure out which team will show the best game and earn the necessary points to advance to the playoffs. We will try to identify the winner, if there is one.

Form OG

In the status of a favorite, OG is approaching the match. The chance of the European team to win is estimated by the bookmakers with a coefficient of around 1.7.

Looking ahead, it is worth saying that the difference in the perception of teams among specialists is palpable. The gap in coefficients is impressive and it is quite logical.

No one in their right mind will take away preference from the team that won the Major this season and showed good DotA at other international events. Let's add here the performance in the home, Western European league, and we get a well-deserved favorite and contender for victory in this event. However, not everything is so simple.

If this victory comes, it will be won through sweat and tears, because so far OG's game cannot be called flawless. This is especially true in matches against the same “applicants”.

OG results at The International 2022

• 2-0 victory over BOOM
• 2-0 victory over Gaimin Gladiators
• Lost to EG 0-2
• Lost to PSG.LGD 0-2

As we can see, matches against teams that are nominally weaker are given to OG without much difficulty. The trouble starts in the top-tier matchups where the pace picks up and OG's standard approach starts to break down.

Roster OG

• Yuragi
• bzm
• ATF
• Taiga
• Misha

In the matches against EG and PSG.LGD it was difficult to single out anyone. It was a beating, as they say.

Heroes OG Esports

In patch 7.32, OG's approach to drafting hasn't changed much from the previous meta. They still play 3 cores giving ATF a lot of farm.

The most popular picks are Mars (7 games, 85% wins), Dark Willow (6 games, 85% wins), Earthshaker (5 matches, 80% wins), QoP (4 matches, 100% wins).

Hokori shape

In the status of an outsider, Hokori will approach this match. The chance of success for the team from South America is estimated at a factor of around 7.

Quite a logical figure for a team of the Hokori level. Like it or not, you can't argue against statistics.

For Hokori, it has been “brilliant” for the year: the team played in the home league in South America and appeared at almost all local events. Before The International 2022, the team completely flew out of the first division in South America, which, as it were, hints at the instability of the Peruvians at least, but it was not there.

Having won qualifications for The International (no chance, by the way), Hokori went to the group stage in the status of “tourists”. Probably, only devoted fans predicted such a performance at The International.

Hokori results at The International

• Draw with PSG.LGD 1-1
• Draw with BOOM 1-1
• Draw with Gaimi Gladiators 1-1
• Draw with BB Team 1-1

When in the first round at Hokori I saw PSG.LGD in the opponents, I thought that they were unlucky, because starting the tournament from 0-2 for such a young team can be difficult in terms of morale. In fact, they were very lucky - unheated PSG.LGD, coupled with a decent game by Hokori, gave the team the first draw and a powerful boost for future games.

Composition of Hokori

• Lumiere
• 4nalog
• Vitaly
• Thiolicor
• Gardick

I never stop enjoying the game of Hokori, even despite the many drawdowns, as it was on the first map with BB Team. The overall picture is quite acceptable and Hokori are more than suitable for entering the lower bracket.

Heroes Hokori

In patch 7.32 Hokori play on: Tusk (12 matches, 66% wins), Undying (11 matches, 81% wins), Marci (11 matches, 81% wins), Omniknight (10 matches, 70% wins), Death Prophet (10 matches, 60% win rate), Puck (10 matches, 60% win rate).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams did not meet each other in official games. This fight will be the debut face-to-face match for the teams.

Match result

In this fight, I expect DotA at high speeds, because both teams gravitate towards this style of play. However, you can play on this, as PSG.LGD did in the match against OG.

As dynamic as OG has been, their focus on 3 cores comes at the expense of heavy lane pressure. Conditional Venomancers with Pangolier do a great job, and early fights, due to the frequent presence of heroes like Slardar and Timbersaw in OG, do not allow Europeans to counterattack. Let's see if Hokori dare to rush, because contrary to stereotypes, the team plays quite academically.

In this match, I will still bet in favor of OG, because there is a feeling that the Peruvians will give up by the end of the groups.

Result: OG win.