Match forudsigelse: OG - Gaimin Gladiators | Dota 2
The International 2022We are slowly approaching the end of the first phase of the playoffs of the biggest esports event this year.
The playoffs of The International 2022 continue in Singapore, where the third game day begins. It will be opened by OG and Gaimin Gladiators.
The European derby should give a boost to the next series and we are in danger of watching an inspired game. However, it seems so when considering the match superficially.
Let's try to figure out which of the teams should go back to Europe, and who will continue their march to the Aegis of Champions in Singapore.
Form OG
OG will play as the favorite in this match. The chance of winning the club of champions of the Stockholm major is estimated by the odds in the region of 1.4.
The fact that OG are here in the status of a favorite does not raise any questions. The club systematically walked towards such an attitude towards itself throughout the season.
If the first half of the year was difficult, then with getting into the ESL One Stockholm Major and the subsequent championship in the capital of Sweden, it became clear that a worthy replacement had been found for the retired OG legends. However, at The International 2022 itself, where OG were selected from the second place on the DPC leaderboard, the vibe of the champions is not felt yet.
OG results at The International 2022
So far, OG are adding impressions of a “borderline” team. They sway from side to side.
In the group stage, they ended up in pot A. A strong pot with PSG.LGD, Evil Geniuses, Royal Never Give Up and Team Liquid inside.
At the start of the group stage, OG swept through smaller clubs like Soniqs and BOOM, but stalled in the middle of the group stage, losing dry to direct competitors Evil Geniuses and PSG.LGD.
OG got a ticket to the upper bracket of the playoffs by jumping into the last car of the outgoing train. The team “finished off” the exhausted COVID-19 Royal Never Give Up, thereby bypassing replays.
They outplayed the Chinese easily, but the feeling of being lost hovered around OG. It peaked in the first playoff match, where OG faced Tundra Esports.
Except as a beating, that duel cannot be called. The top team in Group B took on their DPC counterparts in Western Europe 2-0.
OG's signature Yuragi Morph didn't help on the first map that Tundra took in 24 minutes. Another popular carry OG Phantom Lancer didn't play either: Tundra choked OG with Spirit Braker and Mirana on the second map in 38 minutes.
For the young OG roster, this was the first such tangible slap in the face of the season. Now let's see how they recover from this.
OG roster at The International 2022
- Yuragi
- bzm
- ATF
- Taiga
- Misha
OG is the most experimental team of the tournament. Yuragi has played the most characters, but whether it's good is the question. It is not entirely clear yet, because
Heroes OG Esports
In this tournament, OG play in fact the same as during the season. They get some profit from the “prepared”, but as we can see, more “meta” teams eat them up.
Most played characters: Oracle (8 matches, 62% wins), Razor (6 matches, 50% wins), Timbersaw (5 matches, 40% wins), Snapfire (4 matches, 50% wins), Jakiro (3 matches), 100% wins).
Gaimin Gladiators Uniform
In the status of an outsider, Gaimin Gladiators will approach the match. The chance of success of the “gladiators”, according to the bookmakers, is equal to the odds of 2.8.
Such a figure, as for me, is another compliment towards GG. However, the factor of the “suspended” state of OG also plays here, which do not inspire confidence during The International 2022.
Gaimin Gladiators shined in the first half of the year when they made a splash in Western Europe and showed themselves solidly beyond its borders. Looking back at the first DPC round and GG's victory there, and then the 4th place at ESL One Stockholm, one draws a solid contender for high places.
GG really looked like this, but after the first major in Sweden, they sank a lot. Until now, the team cannot return to its former performance, as evidenced by the performance during The International.
Gaimin Gladiators performance at The International 2022
Gaimin Gladiators ended up with OG in the same group, group A. A triumph there was unlikely, but it didn't hurt to see a better game.
It's not worth exaggerating too much, because GG's performance in the group was not crowned with a total failure. The team took exactly the last place out of all the TOPs, only missing the opening of the year represented by Hokori.
Gaimin Gladiators finished seventh in Group A with a score of 8-10 on maps. The team's first opponent in the lower bracket was Fnatic.
In that match, the “orange” imposed a frantic pace on the “gladiators” and at some point it seemed that Ace and company would be the first team from Europe to leave The International.
Thanks to the comeback and BOOM at Storm Spirit, the team caught on to the event, and now has a chance to knock out their competitors in the Western European league from the tournament.
Line-up Gaimin Gladiaotors
- DyrachYO
- BOOM
- Ace
- tOfu
- Celeri
Passing the first round of the playoff bracket for the young roster of Gaimin Gladiators is already a result. A potential victory over the same young, but already major champions in the face of OG will be his consolidation.
Heroes Gaimin Gladiators
The most chosen character of Gaimin Gladiators at this The International is, attention, Brewmaster. They are almost the only team that rates the hero so much. He appeared 7 times and won 4 matches.
The rest is standard, with a slight correction for Enchantress, which Seleri loves. She appeared in 7 matches but won 3 of them. Let's not forget about the very signature Storm Spirit and Morph performed by DyrachYO.
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams met each other 5 times. Three times during the regular season in Western Europe, once at the Stockholm Major and the last time here in Singapore. Gladiators managed to win only 1 time, at DPC WEU 2021/22 Tour 1: Regional Finals.
Match outcome
In this confrontation, I rather expect a one-sided game. Even despite OG's failure in the first playoff match against Tundra, Misha's team should easily get through GG.
The teams know each other and understand who, who and how to play. Another plus in favor of OG is that the team has the practice of stress resistance.
At the championship major for OG in Stockholm, the team fell to the lower bracket in the first round of the playoffs, after which they rose to the top, lifting the trophy over their heads.
In general, OG should win, and then we'll see.
Result: OG win.
OG is the 8th team in the world ranking. We had a good group stage, taking a well-deserved 4th place. BOOM, Gaimin Gladiators, Susquehanna Soniqs and RNG won. We shared the map match with Hokori, BetBoom and failed to pick up the victory against EG, PSG.LGD and Liquid. They lost their first match in the playoff stage without a chance to Tundra 2:0, falling down the lower bracket and now they have to fight in the relegation zone.
Gaimin Gladiators are the 9th team in the world ranking. The group stage was not the best for the team. Only BetBoom and Susquehanna Soniqs, who have already left the tournament, managed to win. We tied with Hokori, BOOM, Liquid and PSG.LGD and lost to OG, RNG and EG. Having started the playoffs from the lower bracket, we defeated Fnatic in bo1 format.
Based on the group stage, previous merit, personal rating, and personal preference, OG should be the winner. I will not invent anything and I will take their victory.
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OG win!
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Derby of teams from Western Europe between Gladiators and OG in the lower bracket of The International 11 playoffs.
OG in the group - 10:8 with 4 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws. In the playoffs, they only have 1 series and are 0-2 against Tundra.
Gladiators in the same group with OG had 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses; 8 won and 10 lost.
OG (10:10) vs. Gladiators (9:10). OG is a little disappointing with their drafts and safe lane performance. AMMAR wins every lane on Timber, but bzm and yuragi are very uncertain at this championship so far. I don’t see the point in going deep into drafts, it doesn’t really affect the game of these teams.
Interestingly, Tundra against OG banned Templar Assassin and Pangolier in the first stage, apparently they know something and were not afraid of Ammar's heroes at all.
Analytics and bets on Dota 2 for TI11 in Telegram: t.me/flzbets
Against Gladiators, I was hoping that fnatic would ban Morph and beat them in the lower bracket, but he, Sniper and TA decided to give him away.
In the group stage, the teams already played each other, then OG defeated Gladiators 2:0, played against Morf twice, in the first stage OG had Slark in the first stage, but this did not stop the Gladiators and they took Morph on 24. In the second map, Gladiators closed Razor in the first stage again Morph and lost.
I'm sure OG feel confident against Gladiators, regardless of the stage and pressure; for them it is an incredibly convenient opponent. I think it wasn't OG that were weak, but Tundra were very strong.
OG win - odds 1.5
Gladiators win - odds 2.75
2:0 from OG for me the most logical outcome for such a game, even a large number of sensations will not stop. dyrachyo will not cope with the pressure, bzm will take out BOOM in the mid lane, the main intrigue is Yuragi + Misha's performance in easy.
Prediction: OG will beat Gladiators 2:0 - odds 2.4
Bookmakers & Statistics
OG er opført som kampens favoritter hos de fleste bookmakere, og odds på dem er lig med 1.306. Gaimin Gladiators er til gengæld kampens outsidere. Odds på deres sejr er omkring 4.057.
Hvordan præsterede deltagerne i de sidste kampe
Sidste kampe | OG | Gaimin Gladiators |
5 kampe (sejre) | 1 | [udevinderrate_5] |
10 kampe (sejre) | 4 | [ude_vinder_10] |
Gamblere vil helt sikkert være interesserede i statistikken over personlige møder mellem holdene. Holdene spillede 5 kampe med hinanden før. Og OG vandt 4 gange, mens Gaimin Gladiators tilsvarende blev vinderen 1 gange.