Match forudsigelse: Alliance - Entity | Dota 2

On July 9, Alliance and Entity will fight against each other. Bookmakers define Entity as a very clear favorite and give a coefficient of 1.10 for the victory of this team, which is equivalent to a chance of winning approximately ~ 85%. Is it so? Do I agree with the bookmakers and should I bet on Entity to win? Today we will analyze this issue in detail and come to the appropriate conclusions.

Alliance Game Uniform

Alliance are in last place in the group stage table. The team could not win a single victory for the entire season, and moreover, the team could not win on any map. The team managed to play against everyone, including Entity. OG, Team Liquid, Gaimin Gladiators, Tundra Esports, Team Secret and goonsquad stood in their way. It is worth noting the recent changes in the composition of Alliance. Moyez 'symetricaL' Lin left the team on July 4, having been on the roster since February 27. Together with him, the team was only able to achieve the second place at the DPC WEU Season 2021/2022 Tour 2 Division 2, and thanks to this, Alliance got into the first division. However, the 16th-17th place at Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 and the terrible performance during the third round of DPC WEU 2021/2022 Division 1 made the club management doubt the competence of the third position player, which led to the elimination of the offlaner. His place was taken by Eternal Sadness, who is known for his performances in the Chubriki team. The first pancake went lumpy and, as usual, the debut performance was unsuccessful. And no wonder, because OG is the main favorite of the DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 3 Div 1, which has already secured itself an invite to the Major tournament. In the next match, the team should perform better, especially considering that they will be opposed not by the best team in the first division, but by Entity, which are in 4th position with a score of 3-3.

Alliance last matches

Alliance 0-2 Tundra Esports

Alliance 0-2 Team Secret

Alliance 0-2 goonsquad

Alliance 0-2 Gaimin Gladiators

Alliance 0-2OG

Entity game form

As for Alliance's opponents represented by Eninty, this team shows average results during the championship and has good chances of winning the upcoming confrontation. The team managed to play with everyone except Alliance. The team failed to beat OG, Team Liquid and Tundra Esports, but prevailed in matches against Gaimin Gladiators, Team Secret and goonsquad. At the end of May, a replacement was made. The management of the organization decided to remove their carry Remko 'Crystalli' Arets and take in his place the Russian Ivan 'Pure' Moskalenko. Together with him, the team failed to beat Tundra Esports in the debut meeting, but took one card. The next confrontation with goonsquad was successful and the team did not lose a single map there. Matches against OG and Team Liquid ended in defeat and the team could not pick up a single map there.

Entity game form

Entity 2-0 Gaimin Gladiators

Entity 1-2 Tundra Esports

Entity 2-0 goonsquad

Entity 0-2OG

Entity 0-2 Team Liquid

Conclusion

Considering Entity's form and that it's in Alliance's interest to win at least one match in order to not end up in the Dota 2 league with nothing but losses, I think Alliance's chances of winning are not as bad as it is about this. experts from bookmakers think, but at the same time, one should not forget about the motivation of Entity, which needs a victory in order to enter the Major tournament. Based on this, I have four options for betting.

• First option: Alliance wins at odds of 6.25. The most risky and most profitable option. The team has a chance to win and you can try to take advantage of this. Risk-loving bettors can try their luck, but in this situation, you need to bet very little.
• Second option: Total over 2.5. The coefficient for this profit is 2.95, and the profit risk is not the highest in my opinion. Based on what was said in the forecast, we can conclude that the teams will play on three maps, which I am almost sure of

I will not consider the option with Handicap +1.5 cards of Alliance with a coefficient of 2.65, since this is equivalent to Total +2.5 cards, but with a lower profit.

• Third option: Exact score 2-1 in favor of Entity. Here, the coefficient is good and the probability of profit is not bad. In my opinion this is the best bet

Final bet: Correct score 2-1 in favor of Entity